Week 10 had some tough endings to throw off our Sporting Information picks and predictions towards the unfold, led by the Cardinals beating the Payments on a Hail Mary go. Meaning we simply have to get again to being higher in Week 11.

There are 14 video games on the slate, with just one double-digit unfold and loads of razor-thin traces. That makes the upcoming schedule much more difficult. That will not cease us from our fearless forecasts or our newest pigskin prognosticatons.

Here is breaking down all of the Week 11 matchups as we glance for lots of winners and good success towards the numbers:

MORE: Week 11 NFL energy rankings | Week 11 picks straight up

NFL picks towards the unfold for Week 11

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Andy Reid’s groups are 18-Three after a bye throughout the common season. Patrick Mahomes’ worst lack of his profession got here in Week 5, when he threw his solely interception of the season because the Raiders received at Arrowhead Stadium. Guess on his first journey to Las Vegas being profitable, figuring out that he wants his greatest to carry off a red-hot staff capturing for Kansas Metropolis’s divisional throne. Kansas Metropolis will run the ball higher and play improved protection to separate the season collection.

Choose: Chiefs win 31-27 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox, NFL Community and Amazon Prime Video

The Cardinals took over first place with their inconceivable last-second win towards the Payments. Additionally they survived the Seahawks in extra time in Week 7. Kyler Murray will keep scorching, however search for Russell Wilson to rebound from his worst recreation of the season, seemingly with assist from Chris Carson and a extra viable operating recreation that may take strain off their overwhelmed protection. Ball management plus a hyper-efficient, lower-volume Wilson will get Seattle again on monitor.

Choose: Seahawks win 38-34 and canopy the unfold.

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Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Rams’ protection is taking part in at excessive stage. The Bucs’ protection has been inconsistent however is able to dominating towards the run and by speeding the passer. Tampa Bay has robust reminiscences of its prime-time residence meltdown towards New Orleans, and so it will not let that occur once more vs. long-traveling Los Angeles. It will likely be simpler for Tom Brady to fabricate offense with the versatile playmakers round him than will probably be for Jared Goff on the street.

Choose: Buccaneers win 24-17 and canopy the unfold.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Ravens understand their possibilities of successful the AFC North once more are fading, in order that they’ll deal with ensuring they a minimum of lock up the wild card with Lamar Jackson. Their reminiscences of being upset by the Titans at residence in final season’s playoffs ought to immediate them to play higher within the rematch. The Titans’ protection is wilting whereas the Ravens can nonetheless rely on theirs as a spine, regardless of key accidents. Jackson is extra comfy at residence than Ryan Tannehill is on the street.

Choose:  Ravens win 27-17 and canopy the unfold.

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have a problem towards a protection that is superb towards the go and fairly good towards the run. However they need to additionally recognize not needing to cope with the weather of Lambeau Area. The Colts can have success with their deep backfield as they attempt to shorten the sport with ball management and restrict Rodgers’ possibilities. However Rodgers will get assist from his operating recreation and protection, too, to arrange large, game-changing go performs.

Choose: Packers win 24-20.

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Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Browns’ operating recreation is at full power, so Cleveland can take video games out of Baker Mayfield’s palms. They’re additionally getting higher play on protection behind Myles Garrett. The Eagles have a extra ambigious id and Carson Wentz is immediately struggling regardless of some reinforcements within the passing recreation. Their protection will play higher and preserve them on this powerful recreation within the Cleveland climate, however Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will make the distinction once more for the Browns in a low-scoring recreation.

Choose: Browns win 20-17 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Falcons are coming off a bye, so their offense seemingly will likely be at full effectiveness round Matt Ryan. The Saints won’t have Drew Brees (ribs) to duel their NFC South archrivals. Taysom Hill might want to channel a few of his greatest operating and passing to get the higher of Ryan. Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas will raise Hill late in a high-scoring recreation, answering what Ryan does with Todd Gurley, Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley.

Choose: Saints win 30-27 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Lions ought to have Matthew Stafford rolling into Charlotte after lastly fining the correct dose of dynamic rookie operating again D’Andre Swift. The Panthers won’t have Christian McCaffrey and there is a probability Teddy Bridgewater additionally will miss the sport. The Panthers’ protection has fallen aside at each stage in current weeks and the Lions have struck a very good stability between ball management and explosiveness.

Choose: Lions win 27-24.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Texans are horrible towards the run. The Patriots will stay a run-heavy offense with Damien Harris, Rex Burkhead, Cam Newton and whoever else. Deshaun Watson can provide a robust response after his weather-related clunker in Cleveland, due to Will Fuller and former Patriot Brandin Cooks. However search for Invoice Belichick to get the higher of his former defensive coordinator, Romeo Crennel.

Choose: Patriots win 27-24 and canopy the unfold.

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Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Steelers have been good at piling it on towards overmatched groups this season. The Jaguars match that class. With the operating recreation struggling, Pittsburgh has been relentless with Ben Roethlisberger and his robust trio of huge receivers. Jacksonville cannot cowl any of them. Pittsburgh will include James Robinson and the Jacksonville operating recreation and tee off on Jake Luton, the second consecutive rookie QB they’re going to be going through.

Choose: Steelers win 34-17 and canopy the unfold.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Talking of rookie QBs, Joe Burrow will bounce again from his brutal outing towards the Steelers by working the center the sector and spreading the ball round towards a Washington protection that’s growing extra holes. Alex Smith will preserve transferring the ball for Washington with loads of assist from operating backs Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic. however Burrow will grasp in there to ship the game-winning field-goal drive.

Choose: Bengals win 23-20

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

The Jets need to take a protracted flight after their bye. Joe Flacco and La’Mical Perine are actually within the major offensive roles with Sam Darnold (shoulder) out once more and Frank Gore turning into extra of a backup. The Chargers ought to really feel assured about Justin Herbert making large performs all around the subject and having extra success with its speeding committee. They merely do not win shut video games, nonetheless, so this needs to be a blowout end result or a loss. Go for the previous with LA at residence.

Choose: Chargers win 31-21 and canopy the unfold.

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Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

The Broncos are seeing Drew Lock fade because the turnovers pile up whereas Tua Tagovailoa (3-0) is constant his rise because the Dolphins’ franchise quarterback. Miami can have success transferring the ball with a balanced assault and Tagovailoa getting the ball out rapidly. The Dolphins’ protection will power Lock into extra errors after shutting down the run.

Choose: Dolphins win 24-17 and canopy the unfold.

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

The Cowboys confirmed life on offense and protection of their shut loss to the Steelers earlier than the bye. They need to be more healthy and simpler in each the run and go video games with Ezekiel Elliott and Andy Dalton within the backfield. The Vikings will likely be coming off a brief week, and whereas Dalvin Prepare dinner ought to have one other large recreation, their secondary is made to be exploited by the Cowboys’ large playmaking huge receivers.

Choose: Vikings win 34-27 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Stats of the Week

Week 10 straight up: 9-5

Week 10 towards the unfold: 7-5

Season straight up: 96-50

Season towards the unfold: 87-57