No. 10 Indiana travels to No. Three Ohio State on Saturday (midday, FOX) in a sport that ought to resolve the Massive Ten East Division.
Who did not have that prediction written down in 2020?
The Hoosiers (4-0) have emerged as media darling underneath coach Tom Allen after beating Penn State, Michigan and Michigan State within the first 4 weeks of the season. Michael Penix Jr. leads the Massive Ten in passing yards, and the Hoosiers will attempt to break a 25-game shedding streak to the Buckeyes (3-0).
It will not be simple. Second-year coach Ryan Day has but to lose a Massive Ten sport, and Heisman Trophy front-runner Justin Fields leads the convention with 11 touchdowns and an 86.7 completion proportion. Ohio State is a three-TD favourite in a top-10 showdown.
It is the largest School Soccer Playoff piece for the convention at this level. With that in thoughts, here is a better take a look at Saturday’s showdown.
Indiana vs. Ohio State odds
- Unfold: Ohio State -20.5
- Over/underneath: 64.5
- Level unfold odds: Indiana –110, Ohio State -110
The Buckeyes opened as a 21-point favourite, however the line knocked down a half-point this week. That is giving the Hoosiers a bit respect in a rivalry the place they have not had a lot success.
Indiana vs. Ohio State all-time sequence
Ohio State leads the all-time sequence in opposition to Indiana 76-9-4. The Buckeyes have gained 25 straight video games on the sphere in opposition to the Hoosiers, although the 2010 contest was later vacated.
Indiana has not beat the Buckeyes since a 41-7 blowout on Oct. 8, 1988.
Three traits to know
— The Buckeyes are 2-1 ATS this season and 8-Three ATS as a house favourite underneath Day. It’s nonetheless a big unfold contemplating that each groups are within the prime 10.
— Indiana is 0-Three S/U in opposition to the Buckeyes underneath Allen. The Hoosiers have misplaced these three conferences by a mean of 30.7 factors.
— The Hoosiers are 4-Zero ATS this season, and that features covers as underdogs in opposition to Penn State and Michigan. Each of these video games had been at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Ind. Indiana has not gained at Ohio Stadium since 1987.
Three issues to look at
— Michael Penix Jr. and Justin Fields. These are the 2 finest quarterbacks within the Massive Ten this season, and it is an opportunity for Penix to show it on the street. He averages 267.5 passing yards per sport, and the Buckeyes do enable 9.9 yards per completion. Favourite goal Ty Fryfogle averages 17.7 yards per catch and can check Ohio State’s secondary, led by All-American cornerback Shaun Wade. Fields is working with the 1-2 tandem of Garrett Wilson (344 yards, 2 TDs) and Chris Olave (288 yards, Four TDs).
— Indiana’s strain protection. The Hoosiers common three sacks per sport, and the Buckeyes have allowed seven sacks in three video games. Can Indiana do sufficient to get Fields into third-and-longs — and can that matter? Ohio State has been in a position to convert 58.Three p.c of its third-down alternatives this season.
— Working sport. Massive Ten soccer remains to be predicated on the operating sport, and the Hoosiers have allowed simply 111.Zero speeding yards per sport. If they’ll decelerate Grasp Teague and Trey Sermon, then they may have an opportunity. However that is provided that the Hoosiers can generate greater than 3.5 yards per keep on the opposite aspect. Indiana can’t enable Ohio State’s go rushers — particularly Tommy Togiai and Haskell Garrett on the inside — to dictate the sport.
Stat that issues
That is Ohio State’s report in opposition to ranked Massive Ten opponents since Day joined the Ohio State workers as an offensive coordinator in 2017. The Buckeyes have gained these 12 video games by a mean rating of 39.5-20.4. Ohio State was 5-Zero in that state of affairs with Day as head coach final yr, and that common rating was 39.8-18.2.
Indiana must be fired up. It is a great alternative for this system, and it will not be a shock if Penix Jr. leads an early scoring drive that places the Hoosiers forward. In every of the previous three conferences, the rating has been 7-Three after one quarter. The Buckeyes, like in these previous three conferences, will take management from there. Fields will throw a number of first-half TDs, and a pair of turnovers within the second half will spring-load one other convincing victory for the three-time defending Massive Ten champions.
Ohio State 45, Indiana 21