The ultimate week of the 2020 NFL season is upon us, and the vast majority of season-long fantasy leagues have already topped their champions. However DFS websites like DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo let you prolong the fantasy enjoyable, and assemble brand-new lineups with wholesome gamers from groups nonetheless actively competing for playoff positioning. Earlier than each week of this season, I’ve supplied a listing of my favourite DFS sleepers and under-the-radar worth performs. I achieve this with the assistance of RotoQL, which options up-to-date rankings of each NFL gamers’ DFS costs, values, stat projections, flooring, and ceilings.
If you happen to learn this column final week, you’d have benefited enormously from our recommendation to make the next DFS roster picks (all Week 16 costs and fantasy factors by way of DraftKings):
- QB Andy Dalton ($5,500): 30.6 fantasy factors
- QB Mitchell Trubisky ($5,700): 24.6
- QB Jalen Hurts ($7,000): 20.6
- RB David Johnson ($6,100): 31.9
- RB JK Dobbins ($6,200): 13.7
- WR Mike Evans ($6,100): 43.1
- WR Brandin Cooks ($6,200): 30.1
- WR Tee Higgins ($4,700): 21.9
- TE Austin Hooper ($3,500): 14.1
- TE Mark Andrews ($5,700): 13.6
- TE Logan Thomas ($4,900): 13.3
- Tampa Bay D/ST ($3,800): 12
- San Fran D/ST ($2,700): 11
- Washington D/ST ($3,000): 9
These gamers (and defenses) all vastly outperformed their worth tiers, with some even main their positions for the week. By discovering such nice values at modest prices, DFS managers afforded themselves studs like Deshaun Watson, Travis Kelce, and Jonathan Taylor in different roster spots.
You may learn Week 17 previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7 on BetQL, discover out which aspect the professionals are betting on their NFL skilled picks dashboard, comply with all of the NFL public betting information, and construct DraftKings lineups on RotoQL.
Let’s break down our prime Week 17 DFS worth performs, and you will get an thought of why 100,000 DFS gamers belief RotoQL to construct lineups. We consistently monitor pricing and supply probably the most up-to-date perception and evaluation to maximise your lineup success. Optimize, discover worth performs, and improve your probabilities of cashing in the present day!
NFL DFS Picks Week 17: QB sleepers, values
Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (DK: $6,300 | FD: $7,700)
Cousins has loved a improbable dwelling stretch of the common season, averaging 23.6 fantasy factors since Week 11. Now he faces a Lions protection surrendering the third-most fantasy factors within the league. In Detroit’s previous 5 video games, QBs have averaged 299.2 passing yards whereas throwing a mixed complete of 15 touchdowns. RotoQL has Cousins projected to attain 21 fantasy factors, simply the highest-projected rating for any signal-caller beneath $7,000 on DraftKings.
Philip Rivers, Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $6,000 | FD: $7,300)
I’m shocked at what number of instances I’ve beneficial Rivers on this column this season contemplating he virtually perennially makes my private ‘Do Not Draft’ record, however the veteran QB’s listed costs have been values most of the time this season and he virtually at all times delivers towards poor defenses. Enter the Jaguars, who yield the second-most fantasy factors to QBs and tank higher than the Jets. RotoQL tasks Rivers at 18.4 with a ceiling of 28.7 factors.
Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,200)
Aww, we’re getting nostalgic within the final week of the common season! Carr has additionally made this record a handful of instances this yr and for good motive. Like Rivers, the Raiders QB is unspectacular however strong. He doesn’t make too many errors, which limits his fantasy ground, and he has play-making receivers who increase his ceiling. Denver ranks 21st in fantasy factors allowed to QBs, so he’s an excellent funding at $5,700.
New Yr’s Bonus: Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (DK: $5,900 | FD: $7,400)
You had me at Carolina. The Panthers have served as many QBs’ ‘get-right video games’ this season, which ought to be no totally different this week for the long run Corridor-of-Famer — particularly with New Orlerans down its prime three RBs due to COVID. Brees averages 24.Four fantasy factors in his previous three video games towards the Panthers. If he can’t hit Black Jack towards them this week, he may not be bodily prepared for the playoffs.
Week 17 DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, values
D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (DK: $6,300 | FD: $7,500)
The rookie has confronted fairly a couple of powerful run defenses within the second half of the season, however Swift has nonetheless averaged17.Four fantasy factors over his previous 5 video games. He turned 16 touches into 97 yards the primary time these groups met in Week 9, and he has exceeded that contact depend in three of the previous 4 weeks since. With 4.6 common yards per carry and 9 complete touchdowns, will probably be troublesome to steer clear of Swift at $6,300 towards the Vikings, who rank 27th towards RBs in fantasy land.
Melvin Gordon III, Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders (DK: $5,700 | FD: $6,800)
The veteran Gordon kicked the turbo boosters on for the house stretch of 2020, accumulating 500 yards on the bottom in 93 carries since Week 10 (5.Four yards per carry). Search for him to seek out paydirt for the 10th time this season, and with 107 yards, he can attain the 1,000-yard mark for simply the second time in his profession. The Raiders have ceded the fourth-most fantasy factors to RBs this season and 6.1 yards per carry to bell-cow backs since these groups final met in mid-November. We’re down with MG3 in Week 17.
Gus Edwards, Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $4,900 | FD: $6,100)
Whereas the Ravens have underwhelmed this season, the ‘Gus Bus’ has been rolling prefer it’s bought Sandra Bullock on the wheel. Since Week 13, Edwards has carried the ball 38 instances for 277 yards (7.Three yards per carry), and he’s discovered the tip zone twice. He additionally has 73 receiving yards over Baltimore’s previous two video games. David Johnson simply rushed for 128 yards and a rating towards Cincinnati, one week after Benny Snell carved the Bengals up for 107 complete yards and a rating. Experience the Bus to DFS glory at a reduction deal this week.
Nyheim Hines, Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $4,900 | FD: $6,000)
One other deal at beneath $5,000, Hines has very quietly put up 60 fantasy factors since Week 12. He serves as one in all Rivers’ safety blankets, equally able to doing injury on the bottom and thru the air. The Jaguars are the present that retains on giving, as they rank 30th in fantasy towards RBs. RotoQL lists Hines’ ceiling at 28.5 PPR factors, a mark he hit in Week 10 towards the Titans.
FanDuel, DraftKings Picks Week 17: WR sleepers, values
T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,300)
Perhaps Hilton traded for himself on his personal fantasy staff late within the season as a result of he’s averaged 18.Four PPR factors since Week 12. Now he will get to inflict some ache on a Jacksonville secondary that has allowed the eighth-most fantasy factors to receivers this season. I do know, I’m hammering the Jaguars this week, however Hilton will hammer them, too, whether or not you insert him into your lineups or not.
Keke Coutee, Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans (DK: $5,600 | FD: $5,700)
At the very least anyone benefited from the Will Fuller suspension. Coutee has scored 61.2 fantasy factors since Week 13 (15.Three per sport), clearly incomes the belief of Texans QB Deshaun Watson. Coutee has seen the sector for 73 p.c of Houston’s offensive snaps for the reason that Fuller suspension, and he’s caught 21-of-24 targets in that span. Tennessee has allowed the third-most factors to wideouts this season. RotoQL tasks the third-year speedster at 13 PPR factors with a 25-point ceiling.
Russell Gage, Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $5,100 | FD: $5,700)
One other wideout who has benefited from the absence of a teammate, Gage has stepped up since Julio Jones suffered a hamstring harm in Week 13. Since then, Gage has 18 grabs for 224 yards and two scores. He’ll look to shut out the season nicely towards the Bucs, who’ve been surprisingly beneficiant to receivers in fantasy this yr (23rd). The over/beneath for this sport is about at 50 factors, and Tampa Bay has scored 78 factors complete previously two weeks. Count on Falcons QB Matt Ryan to throw early and sometimes, with Gage as soon as once more benefiting from the quantity.
Marvin Jones Jr., Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (DK: $5,100 | FD: $6,100)
Jones has been a boom-or-bust play this season, with practically 60 mixed PPR factors in Weeks 13 and 15 however simply 13.7 mixed in Weeks 14 and 16. We at RotoQL count on him to increase once more in Week 17, not simply because he’s an odd-number kind of man but in addition as a result of the Lions face a weak Vikings secondary ranked 24th in fantasy factors allowed to receivers. We’ve got Jones projected at 14.2 fantasy factors, with a a lot greater ceiling if QB Matthew Stafford (ankle) can swimsuit up.
New Yr’s Bonus: Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (DK: $5,000 | FD: $6,200)
I’ve forgiven Gallup for serving to my opponent remove me from my fantasy league’s playoffs a couple of weeks again (I began him in my FLEX spot over Miles Sanders the week Sanders went off towards the Saints…gulp). Gallup appears to have forgiven himself, as nicely, as he scored 11.6 factors final week towards San Francisco and a whopping 33.1 factors final week towards the Eagles. Count on double-digits in an enormous NFC East battle with the G-Males this weekend.
Week 17 NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, values
Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $5,800 | FD: $7,200)
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson has not too long ago regarded much more like he did throughout his 2019 MVP marketing campaign than he did earlier within the season. A part of the reason being as a result of he has reestablished his wholesome reference to Andrews. The 6-5, 256-pound tight finish has 77.7 factors over the course of Baltimore’s previous 5 video games (15.5 per sport), and now he travels to Cincinnati to face a Bengals D ranked 28th in fantasy towards his place.
Irv Smith Jr., Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (DK: $3,900 | FD: $5,600)
Smith reached 15 or extra PPR factors for the third time in 5 weeks when he scored 23.Three towards an excellent Saints protection in New Orleans on Christmas. RotoQL sees that 23-point mark as his ceiling towards the floundering Lions, who rank 24th towards tight ends in fantasy. As a red-zone favourite of the aforementioned Cousins, Smith could very nicely discover paydirt for the third time in two weeks.
New Yr’s Bonus: Noah Fant, Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders (DK: $4,400 | FD: $5,700)
It’s good to let go of grudges and grievances across the New Yr, so I’m keen to forgive and overlook about the truth that Fant did next-to-nothing for me within the 4 fantasy leagues I drafted him this yr. Fant has scored 33.Three mixed PPR factors in Denver’s previous two video games, and he will get to complete the season off sturdy towards a depressing Raiders protection.
BetQL, RotoQL’s sister product, simplifies the analysis course of for sports activities bettors by equipping them with real-time line actions, worth bets of the day and significant staff developments. Test it out right here!
Week 17 NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepers
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (DK: $3,000 | FD: $3,900)
The Seahawks D, which was traditionally unhealthy within the first half of the season, has been surprisingly good within the second half. The largest difference-maker has been Carlos Dunlap, who has supplied Seattle with an precise pass-rush since coming over by way of commerce. The Seahawks have scored a minimum of 9 fantasy factors in each sport since Week 11, and the 49ers usually make errors with Nick Mullens beneath middle.
I want all of our readers a contented and wholesome New Yr, and hope you all begin 2021 with some big-time DFS winnings!